Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.364326 1.574599 1.806002 2.079496 2.393881 2.743949 3.163366
2025-04-27 1.109993 1.394169 1.733506 2.168376 2.710843 3.365291 4.215157
2025-05-04 0.914513 1.236561 1.649445 2.217160 2.977404 3.960528 5.329396
2025-05-11 0.758711 1.095799 1.556264 2.230434 3.192099 4.514850 6.474243
2025-05-18 0.619157 0.949278 1.426867 2.166963 3.284626 4.909880 7.455480
2025-05-25 0.501138 0.811442 1.284515 2.056602 3.284760 5.163398 8.258960
2025-06-01 0.430619 0.733066 1.216847 2.044786 3.425901 5.638464 9.457069
2025-06-08 0.368291 0.656879 1.139572 2.002903 3.508016 6.024817 10.558961
2025-06-15 0.342990 0.638703 1.154155 2.114413 3.858060 6.891202 12.575901
2025-06-22 0.310010 0.601330 1.129331 2.151586 4.080533 7.563373 14.338755
2025-06-29 0.274246 0.553025 1.077399 2.130485 4.191477 8.046609 15.816047
2025-07-06 0.234119 0.490054 0.988918 2.026593 4.129736 8.199159 16.682731
2025-07-13 0.216559 0.470727 0.984302 2.091159 4.415136 9.067953 19.104194
2025-07-20 0.204479 0.460995 0.997672 2.194674 4.795083 10.175602 22.169542
2025-07-27 0.189375 0.442387 0.989957 2.252659 5.088154 11.145567 25.086129
2025-08-03 0.172798 0.417845 0.965902 2.271298 5.298346 11.968323 27.800470
2025-08-10 0.152477 0.381374 0.910025 2.209654 5.319319 12.381434 29.657238
2025-08-17 0.131702 0.340432 0.837823 2.098820 5.209459 12.484151 30.808575
2025-08-24 0.119632 0.319124 0.808928 2.087755 5.335569 13.146731 33.379558
2025-08-31 0.107261 0.295066 0.769848 2.045576 5.378898 13.617616 35.546753
2025-09-07 0.104143 0.294945 0.790801 2.159795 5.834020 15.152177 40.599133
2025-09-14 0.097561 0.284364 0.783244 2.197974 6.096735 16.238551 44.644253
2025-09-21 0.089031 0.266974 0.755141 2.176551 6.197196 16.920862 47.713590